Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-21 0.036892 0.042785 0.049324 0.057120 0.066163 0.076330 0.088633
2025-12-28 0.028161 0.036009 0.045601 0.058197 0.074324 0.094308 0.121002
2026-01-04 0.022683 0.031248 0.042519 0.058460 0.080470 0.109864 0.152235
2026-01-11 0.018960 0.027762 0.040067 0.058561 0.085733 0.124327 0.183561
2026-01-18 0.016454 0.025391 0.038555 0.059406 0.091730 0.140153 0.218629
2026-01-25 0.014696 0.023764 0.037755 0.060978 0.098748 0.158087 0.259056
2026-02-01 0.012568 0.021199 0.035084 0.059129 0.099965 0.166946 0.286062
2026-02-08 0.011114 0.019492 0.033502 0.058732 0.103337 0.179483 0.320561
2026-02-15 0.009875 0.017959 0.031974 0.058152 0.106201 0.191343 0.355255
2026-02-22 0.009062 0.017054 0.031390 0.059111 0.111826 0.208595 0.401787
2026-03-01 0.008188 0.015915 0.030227 0.058819 0.115040 0.221746 0.442222
2026-03-08 0.007277 0.014583 0.028533 0.057274 0.115608 0.229883 0.473827
2026-03-15 0.006450 0.013322 0.026845 0.055573 0.115748 0.237391 0.505631
2026-03-22 0.006011 0.012791 0.026532 0.056616 0.121615 0.257141 0.565706
2026-03-29 0.005544 0.012137 0.025886 0.056870 0.125836 0.273975 0.621799
2026-04-05 0.005115 0.011510 0.025214 0.056969 0.129709 0.290504 0.679430
2026-04-12 0.004791 0.011071 0.024890 0.057790 0.135285 0.311431 0.749981
2026-04-19 0.004550 0.010791 0.024880 0.059319 0.142669 0.337341 0.835866
2026-04-26 0.004099 0.009962 0.023526 0.057521 0.141942 0.344269 0.876470
2026-05-03 0.003788 0.009430 0.022799 0.057135 0.144588 0.359558 0.940097
2026-05-10 0.003497 0.008910 0.022039 0.056571 0.146710 0.373805 1.003005
2026-05-17 0.003318 0.008649 0.021879 0.057503 0.152771 0.398683 1.097454
2026-05-24 0.003088 0.008232 0.021280 0.057219 0.155605 0.415597 1.172671